Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 74% probability that Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 74¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 46-cent spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity and unreliable pricing.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 46-cent spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity and unreliable pricing. The 0-cent Yes price implies an impossibly low 0% probability that a best-of-seven playoff series goes beyond 4 games, which contradicts historical NHL data showing roughly 40-50% of first-round series extend past game 4. The astronomical 1351% implied yield signals severe market dysfunction rather than genuine predictive value, likely reflecting a stale or incorrectly priced contract with minimal liquidity to correct the mispricing before the May 16 expiration.
Resolution rules
If above 4.5 games are played in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26BOSBUFR1-5 yes 100