Will there be over 5.5 total games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will there be over 5.5 total games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $158.49 open interest, making the 23¢ spread and 906% implied yield on the Yes side potentially unreliable indicators of true market sentiment.

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60¢
Bid/Ask 54/60¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $8.1·OI $183.96·Closes May 16, 2026·25d remaining
KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26BOSBUFR1-6
7-day price23 snapshots · 2 regime
61¢54¢ current
Apr 1754¢Apr 20

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $158.49 open interest, making the 23¢ spread and 906% implied yield on the Yes side potentially unreliable indicators of true market sentiment. The 64¢ price implies a first-round series going to at least six games (over 5.5), which historically occurs in roughly 50% of NHL matchups, suggesting the current pricing may be slightly elevated. With 27 days to expiry and minimal trading activity, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where the quoted yield figures should be treated with significant caution.

Resolution rules

If above 5.5 games are played in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1259.7%
IY (No) 1736.0%
Adj IY 868%
CRI 1
Overround 0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1259.7%
IY (No)1736.0%
Adj IY868%
CRI1
Overround0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:42:51 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26BOSBUFR1-6 yes 100

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