What is the current probability for "Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 13¢ (13% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 19013.1% and 353.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no volume or open interest despite a 55-cent spread, suggesting it may be newly listed or abandoned.

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13¢

Bid/Ask 12/13¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $124.05·OI $149.08·Closes May 8, 2026·14d remaining

KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-LA2

7-day price175 snapshots · 6 regime

16¢12¢ current

Apr 171¢Apr 23

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no volume or open interest despite a 55-cent spread, suggesting it may be newly listed or abandoned. The 0% implied probability at the 0¢ bid appears artificially depressed given that over 2.5-goal margins occur regularly in professional hockey, indicating potential mispricing or a data error. With expiration on 5/8/2026 (approximately 16 months out), there's ample time for liquidity to develop, but current conditions make this market effectively untradeable.

Resolution rules

If Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 19013.1%

IY (No) 353.5%

Adj IY 9507%

CRI 7

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	19013.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	353.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9507%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	7	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 12:20:14 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 12:08:13 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-LA2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →