Who will win Players' Player of the Year?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Who will win Players' Player of the Year?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2027. This market shows extreme volatility with the price collapsing 95% over seven days from 95¢ to 5¢, suggesting a significant negative catalyst or market repricing of Mac Allister's odds.
Analysis
This market shows extreme volatility with the price collapsing 95% over seven days from 95¢ to 5¢, suggesting a significant negative catalyst or market repricing of Mac Allister's odds. The 1112% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high but paired with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 5¢ spread, indicating illiquidity that makes the quoted probability potentially unreliable. With 624 days until expiry and only $2,031 in open interest, this appears to be a thinly-traded contract where the recent price movement may reflect low-volume trades rather than genuine consensus, warranting caution before treating the 5¢ price as a true market assessment.
Resolution rules
If Alexis Mac Allister wins the Professional Footballers' Association (PFA) Players' Player of the Year in the 2025-2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPFAPOY-2526-AALL yes 100