Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$337
Best sibling
John Kiriakou 39¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU
Market snapshot
Derek Chauvin in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $34K. In the KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01 family, this outcome ranks #12 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Derek Chauvin
Family rank
#12 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
$34K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01
Quote range
4¢-39¢
Family leader
John Kiriakou 39¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU. Family volume: $337.
Price history
6¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Derek Chauvin has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 6¢, 0¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$337
Outcomes
16
Highest price
John Kiriakou 39¢
Current share
0%
Derek Chauvin
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU
John Kiriakou
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKIR
Julian Assange
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JASS
Ghislaine Maxwell
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX
Edward Snowden
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ESNO
Tim Leissner
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TLEI
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT
Keonne Rodriguez
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD
Sam Bankman-Fried
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF
Jared Kushner
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKUS
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA
Steve Bannon
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN
Bob Menendez
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN
Roger Ver
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Matt Borges
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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