Roger Ver · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01
Roger Ver is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01.
Price history
13¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Roger Ver has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Roger Ver
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Keonne Rodriguez 19¢
Range
1¢-19¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$73
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Roger Ver has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Event family
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Keonne Rodriguez 19¢
Current share
3%
Keonne Rodriguez
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD
Charlie Javice
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-CJAV
Martin Shkreli
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MSH
Kenneth Petty
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KPET
Roger Ver
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Sam Bankman-Fried
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF
John Kiriakou
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKIR
Bill Hwang
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BHWA
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT
Ghislaine Maxwell
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX
Bob Menendez
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN
Derek Chauvin
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA
Braden John Karony
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BJK
Aimee Bock
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ABOC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.