SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$4 volume
$1 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$393

Best sibling

John Kiriakou 39¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR

Market snapshot

Matt Borges in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4. In the KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01 family, this outcome ranks #15 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Matt Borges

Family rank

#15 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$4

Family context

16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01

Quote range

4¢-39¢

Family leader

John Kiriakou 39¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR. Family volume: $393.

Price history

5¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 23, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 10¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢950
5¢5
4¢250
3¢84
2¢500
AskSize
10¢100
12¢250
14¢500
67¢252
68¢1.7K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Matt Borges has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2920.6%

IY (No)

8.1%

Adj IY

1460%

CRI

19

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2920.6%
8.1%
Adj IY
1460%
19
Overround
2.3%

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