AL Bataeh vs Al Ain Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that AL Bataeh vs Al Ain Winner?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 91¢ spread and extreme yield metrics unreliable—the 42,249% implied yield on Yes reflects a near-zero price rather than genuine market conviction.

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19¢mid
Bid/Ask 14/23¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining
KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23BATAIN-TIE
7-day price9 snapshots · 3 regime
14¢14¢ current
Apr 172¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 91¢ spread and extreme yield metrics unreliable—the 42,249% implied yield on Yes reflects a near-zero price rather than genuine market conviction. The market appears to be either misconfigured or abandoned, as it's pricing a tie outcome in a specific soccer match with only 21 days to expiry, yet the original match date of April 23, 2026 has already passed relative to the close date of May 7, 2026, suggesting potential resolution ambiguity. The high cliff risk index of 24 combined with zero liquidity makes this unsuitable for trading.

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the AL Bataeh vs Al Ain professional UAE Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14638.3%
IY (No) 387.9%
Adj IY 7319%
CRI 6
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)14638.3%
IY (No)387.9%
Adj IY7319%
CRI6
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:21:22 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23BATAIN-TIE yes 100

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