Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas Winner?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 89¢ spread, suggesting it may be inactive or abandoned.

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43¢
Bid/Ask 35/43¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0.78·OI $0.78·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining
KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23ITTBNY-BNY
7-day price8 snapshots · 2 regime
35¢35¢ current
Apr 172¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market displays severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 89¢ spread, suggesting it may be inactive or abandoned. The 0¢ Yes price implies an extraordinarily high 42,721% yield, which is mathematically extreme and likely reflects a pricing error or stale quote rather than genuine market conviction that Baniyas cannot win. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, the market poses significant execution risk for any trader attempting to establish a position.

Resolution rules

If Baniyas wins the Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas professional UAE Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4431.6%
IY (No) 1284.9%
Adj IY 2216%
CRI 2
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4431.6%
IY (No)1284.9%
Adj IY2216%
CRI2
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 7:05:45 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23ITTBNY-BNY yes 100

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