Sharjah vs Al Wahda Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Sharjah vs Al Wahda Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market appears to be experiencing a critical data anomaly: the 0¢ price contradicts the 89¢ spread and the astronomical 42,721% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting a pricing or feed error rather than genuine market conditions.

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23¢
Bid/Ask 24/28¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $7·OI $7·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining
KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23SHJALW-TIE
7-day price7 snapshots · 2 regime
24¢24¢ current
Apr 174¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market appears to be experiencing a critical data anomaly: the 0¢ price contradicts the 89¢ spread and the astronomical 42,721% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting a pricing or feed error rather than genuine market conditions. With zero 24-hour volume and zero open interest despite 21 days to expiry, there is no actual liquidity to trade at any price. The resolution criteria specifying a tie outcome in a binary winner market is also unusual and may indicate a misconfiguration, as typical match winner markets exclude draws or handle them separately.

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Sharjah vs Al Wahda professional UAE Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7602.7%
IY (No) 758.2%
Adj IY 3801%
CRI 3
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)7602.7%
IY (No)758.2%
Adj IY3801%
CRI3
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:21:43 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23SHJALW-TIE yes 100

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