What is the current probability for "Arsenal at Atletico: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 43¢ (43% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 21 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Arsenal at Atletico: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 26707.5% and 108.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Arsenal at Atletico: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Arsenal at Atletico: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Arsenal at Atletico: Totals. This contract trades at 43¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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43¢mid

Bid/Ask 6/80¢·Spread 74¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 13, 2026·21d remaining

KXUCLTOTAL-26APR29ATMARS-3

7-day price11 snapshots · 2 regime

20¢6¢ current

Apr 211¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Arsenal and Atletico collectively score more than 3.5 total goals in the Atletico vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 26707.5%

IY (No) 108.8%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 16

RV 8273%

VR 6.98

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	26707.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	108.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	16	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	8273%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	6.98	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	11.67	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

74¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 9:20:23 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUCLTOTAL-26APR29ATMARS-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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