Price of WTI oil above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST
75 or above is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Will the price of WTI oil be above.
Price history
50¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
75 or above
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
80 or above 52¢
Range
5¢-52¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T75
Jun 8, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
29¢
Reported volume
$46
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · Will the price of WTI oil be above
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T75
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 86¢, -36¢ versus this page.
Event family
Will the price of WTI oil be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
11
Highest price
80 or above 52¢
Current share
—
80 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T80
75 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T75
85 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T85
95 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T95
90 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T90
105 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T105
110 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T110
100 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T100
120 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T120
115 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T115
125 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T125
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.