Price of WTI oil above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST
80 or above is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Will the price of WTI oil be above.
Price history
61¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 80 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
80 or above
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
75 or above 59¢
Range
7¢-59¢
Family volume
$408
Identifier
KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T80
Jul 20, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$278
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · Will the price of WTI oil be above
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$408
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 80 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T80
Event family
Will the price of WTI oil be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$408
Outcomes
11
Highest price
75 or above 59¢
Current share
0%
75 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T75
80 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T80
85 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T85
90 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T90
95 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T95
100 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T100
115 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T115
110 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T110
105 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T105
120 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T120
125 or above
kalshi · KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T125
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In
In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Oil Sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia in 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Shock
A deep-dive into US oil sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia heading into 2026—covering Trump 2.0 policy, secondary sanctions, shadow fleets, global oil balances, European energy security, India/China behavior, and how prediction markets are pricing the next shock.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.