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Price of WTI oil above 95 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST

95 or above is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will the price of WTI oil be above.

Price history

36¢ current

14¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 30, 2026Jun 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 95 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

95 or above

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

75 or above 45¢

Range

5¢-45¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T95

Jun 7, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

48¢

Spread

Reported volume

$19

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the price of WTI oil be above

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 48¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
39¢1
38¢30
37¢55
36¢101
AskSize
48¢2
49¢1
50¢1.0K
55¢1.0K
92¢2

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 95 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXWTIDIRY-26DEC31H1430-T95

SF Signal
SF Index
137.97
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

275.9%

IY (No)

112.8%

Adj IY

138%

CRI

2

Overround

1.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

275.9%
112.8%
Adj IY
138%
2
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.