Will MrBeast reach 500 million subscribers this year?

Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Will MrBeast reach 500 million subscribers this year?. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.

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89¢
Bid/Ask 89/94¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $4,882.59·Closes Jan 1, 2027·248d remaining
KXYTUBESUBSBEAST-27
7-day price68 snapshots · 15 regime
90¢89¢ current
Apr 982¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If MrBeast has at least 500 million subscribers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 18.2%
IY (No) 1192.3%
Adj IY 596%
CRI 8
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)18.2%
IY (No)1192.3%
Adj IY596%
CRI8

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 12:31:02 PM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural
Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 12:23:08 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXYTUBESUBSBEAST-27 yes 100

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