When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $253 open interest, making the 57¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 7-cent spread is wide relative to the contract value, and the recent 6-cent price decline over seven days suggests thin order books are driving volatility rather than fundamental repricing. With 624 days to expiry and symmetric 58.5% implied yields on both sides, the risk-adjusted return of 29% reflects significant uncertainty, though the neutral regime score and low cliff risk index indicate no imminent catalysts are priced in.

Resolution rules

If @IShowSpeed has at least 100,000,000 subscribers before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade