Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-24?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume, minimal open interest of $224.94, and a massive 50¢ bid-ask spread despite closing in just 5 days. The astronomical implied yield of 15,480% on the Yes side signals severe mispricing rather than genuine probability assessment, likely driven by the combination of thin liquidity and the market's imminent expiration. With realized volatility at 788% and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this appears to be a dead or abandoned market where the quoted 33¢ price should not be treated as reliable for decision-making.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If AA Estudiantes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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