AL Bataeh vs Al Ain Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that AL Bataeh vs Al Ain Winner?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest, making it essentially non-tradeable despite the astronomical 42,249% implied yield on the Yes side.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 8/17¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $8.33·OI $8.33·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining
KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23BATAIN-BAT
7-day price8 snapshots · 3 regime
9¢8¢ current
Apr 182¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market exhibits severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest, making it essentially non-tradeable despite the astronomical 42,249% implied yield on the Yes side. The 91¢ spread between bid-ask prices and near-zero pricing suggest the market lacks meaningful price discovery, with the extreme yield likely reflecting a technical artifact rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, traders should avoid this venue given the combination of no liquidity, wide spreads, and elevated event risk close to resolution.

Resolution rules

If AL Bataeh wins the AL Bataeh vs Al Ain professional UAE Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 27404.2%
IY (No) 207.2%
Adj IY 13702%
CRI 12
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)27404.2%
IY (No)207.2%
Adj IY13702%
CRI12
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:21:20 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXUAEPLGAME-26APR23BATAIN-BAT yes 100

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