Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-2.5)

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion with zero 24-hour volume despite $149,787 open interest, suggesting the $149 spread reflects stale quotes rather than active trading. The 15¢ price implies only a 15% probability of a 3+ goal Al Khaleej victory, yet the astronomical 38,225% implied yield and 9,514% realized volatility indicate severe mispricing or technical dysfunction—likely driven by the market's imminent 5-day expiry and the high cliff risk index of 6. The 25% price decline over 7 days (20¢ to 15¢) combined with 1.8 info arrivals per hour suggests active sentiment shift, but the absence of recent volume makes this market unreliable for position-taking.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 24 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club" if Al Khaleej Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Fateh Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade