Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)

This Al Taawoun -1.5 spread market shows extreme distress signals with a 12,516% implied yield on the Yes side despite only 33¢ pricing, suggesting severe illiquidity and potential mispricing rather than genuine opportunity—the $0 24-hour volume and $514k open interest indicate virtually no recent trading activity to validate the price. The market has crashed 6 cents over seven days with realized volatility exceeding 1,100%, and with just 6 days to resolution and a 12-cent bid-ask spread, this appears to be a dead or abandoned position rather than an active prediction market. The neutral regime score and modest 1.1 info arrivals per hour suggest limited new information is flowing in to justify the extreme yield metrics.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 23 at 12:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Taawoun Saudi Club" if Al Taawoun Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Najmah Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade