Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-22?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $228k open interest, suggesting trapped positions rather than active trading, while the astronomical implied yields (4589% Yes, 6324% No) indicate severe mispricing likely driven by the one-week expiry cliff. The 5-point price rise over the period combined with 190% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 1.0 signals this is a distressed market where the 53¢ price may not reflect true match probability, making it unreliable for genuine forecast purposes.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Atlético San Luis wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade