What is the current probability for "Bayern Munich at PSG: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 30¢ (30% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 20 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Bayern Munich at PSG: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5364.8% and 596.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Bayern Munich at PSG: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Bayern Munich at PSG: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Bayern Munich at PSG: Totals. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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30¢mid

Bid/Ask 25/35¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 12, 2026·20d remaining

KXUCLTOTAL-26APR28PSGBMU-4

7-day price19 snapshots · 2 regime

26¢25¢ current

Apr 212¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Bayern Munich and PSG collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the PSG vs Bayern Munich professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5364.8%

IY (No) 596.1%

Adj IY 3863%

CRI 3

RV 2684%

VR 3.09

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5364.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	596.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3863%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2684%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.09	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.28	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 9:21:42 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUCLTOTAL-26APR28PSGBMU-4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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