What is the current probability for "Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 22, 2026. 0 days remaining.

Where can I trade "Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $234,895.13·OI $45,618.32·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining

KXBTCD-26APR2203-T77999.99

7-day price10 snapshots · 1 regime

60¢59¢ current

Apr 2237¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 3 AM EDT is above 77999.99 at 3 AM EDT on Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 48810%

CRI 1

Overround 3.2%

LAS 0.02

▶ Full indicator table (4)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
Adj IY	48810%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

100¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 7:44:28 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBTCD-26APR2203-T77999.99 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →