What is the current probability for "Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 22, 2026. 0 days remaining.

Where can I trade "Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Bitcoin price on Apr 22, 2026?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.

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1¢

Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $106,754.92·OI $26,064.87·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining

KXBTCD-26APR2204-T78099.99

7-day price10 snapshots · 1 regime

52¢6¢ current

Apr 226¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 78099.99 at 4 AM EDT on Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 49020%

CRI 1

Overround 2.5%

LAS 0.02

▶ Full indicator table (4)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
Adj IY	49020%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	2.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

100¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 9:45:23 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 7:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBTCD-26APR2204-T78099.99 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →