Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
This contract is priced at 33¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 65¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 29¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$47K
Best sibling
FC Heidenheim 95¢
Ticker
0xd1fccf29…0856
Market snapshot
St. Pauli in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?. The displayed quote is 33¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $46. In the Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
St. Pauli
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
33¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 28, 2026
24h volume
$46
Family context
3 outcomes · Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?
Quote range
9¢-95¢
Family leader
FC Heidenheim 95¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0xd1fccf29139e6be18e434fef88096472e89d134657b1e8e54423cf41b4d60856. Family volume: $47K.
Price history
33¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
65 / 94¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
0xd1fccf29…0856
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 50¢, -17¢ versus this page.
Event family
Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$47K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
FC Heidenheim 95¢
Current share
24%
St. Pauli
polymarket · 0xd1fccf29139e6be18e434fef88096472e89d134657b1e8e54423cf41b4d60856
FC Heidenheim
polymarket · 0x7b2e9c05a6b257ccd8cbdcd976b020bbbef0cd72cdc857e6951b45a05355604d
FC Koln
polymarket · 0x0e925ab355d912ed3010f386ee2b62e071823f8fd15660e4eeae92b11e2963f0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 33% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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