Will CA Bucaramanga vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC end in a draw?

This market shows extreme distress signals with a massive 44¢ spread, zero 24-hour volume, and an absurd 15,356% implied yield on the Yes side—suggesting the 29¢ price may be stale or illiquid rather than reflecting genuine probability. The 899% realized volatility and sharp 4¢ price decline over 7 days, combined with only $171k open interest and 6 days to expiry, indicate this is a thin, potentially abandoned market where the draw probability is likely mispriced due to illiquidity rather than fundamental uncertainty about the match outcome.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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