Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-24?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-24?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Polymarket, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $194.6k open interest and a massive 36¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 25¢ price may not reflect true consensus with only 5 days to expiry.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 11/13¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $7·OI $72,710.851·Closes Apr 24, 2026·2d remaining
0x85fda8e1f5b84b5815bf5bceeab55a22886557cbac12224689d1e919125fd355
7-day price119 snapshots · 4 regime
40¢12¢ current
Apr 1811¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $194.6k open interest and a massive 36¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 25¢ price may not reflect true consensus with only 5 days to expiry. The astronomical implied yield of 20,506% on the Yes side signals either a severely mispriced long-shot bet or potential resolution uncertainty, compounded by the 1,635% realized volatility indicating wild historical price swings. With a Cliff Risk Index of 3 and the market closing in just days, traders should be cautious of illiquidity traps and verify game status before entry.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If CA Central Córdoba wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 3093.4%
Adj IY 41665%
CRI 7
Overround 0.0%
LAS 0.17
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)3093.4%
Adj IY41665%
CRI7
Overround0.0%
LAS0.17

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:24:46 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x85fda8e1f5b84b5815bf5bceeab55a22886557cbac12224689d1e919125fd355 yes 100

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