What is the current probability for "Cameron Johnson: 4+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 53¢ (53% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Cameron Johnson: 4+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2312.2% and 2312.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Cameron Johnson: 4+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Cameron Johnson: 4+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Cameron Johnson: 4+ rebounds. This contract trades at 53¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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53¢mid

Bid/Ask 50/55¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENCJOHNSON23-4

7-day price16 snapshots · 3 regime

53¢50¢ current

Apr 2146¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Cameron Johnson records 4+ Rebounds in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2312.2%

IY (No) 2312.2%

Adj IY 2312%

CRI 1

RV 2432%

VR 5.33

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2312.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2312.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2312%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2432%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.33	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	14.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:44:41 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENCJOHNSON23-4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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