What is the current probability for "Cameron Johnson: 5+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 34¢ (34% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Cameron Johnson: 5+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4491.5% and 1192.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Cameron Johnson: 5+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Cameron Johnson: 5+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Cameron Johnson: 5+ rebounds. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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34¢

Bid/Ask 34/36¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $18.8·OI $19.8·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENCJOHNSON23-5

7-day price16 snapshots · 3 regime

46¢34¢ current

Apr 2127¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Cameron Johnson records 5+ Rebounds in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4491.5%

IY (No) 1192.0%

Adj IY 4227%

CRI 2

RV 1829%

VR 2.28

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4491.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1192.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4227%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1829%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.28	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	14.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:54:46 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENCJOHNSON23-5 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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