Will Carolina Royal Ravens finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Carolina Royal Ravens finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing June 28, 2026. The Carolina Royal Ravens top-4 finish market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction, with zero 24-hour volume, a massive 78¢ spread, and an implausibly high 760% implied yield on the Yes side—suggesting the 40¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus.

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48¢
Bid/Ask 0/97¢·Spread 97¢·Vol $0·OI $5.041·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining
0x9d1e2e0c3afd066180d3e7ae742142e2291d7d66b481be6a78ddb899378f2584
7-day price2000 snapshots · 2 regime
49¢13¢ current
Apr 135¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

The Carolina Royal Ravens top-4 finish market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction, with zero 24-hour volume, a massive 78¢ spread, and an implausibly high 760% implied yield on the Yes side—suggesting the 40¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The realized volatility of 3058% and vol ratio of 12.56 indicate severe price instability relative to information flow (10.2 arrivals/hour), while the modest $10.6k open interest and 72-day timeframe to expiry offer limited depth for meaningful position-taking. With the market in neutral regime and the Ravens' actual competitive standing unclear from the data alone, this appears to be a thin, potentially mispriced market where the extreme yield metrics reflect illiquidity risk rather than genuine opportunity.

Resolution rules

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3667.8%
IY (No) 81.9%
Adj IY 3668%
CRI 7
RV 21916%
VR 42.21
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3667.8%
IY (No)81.9%
Adj IY3668%
CRI7
RV21916%
VR42.21
IAR8.1/h
Overround2.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
97¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:50:04 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9d1e2e0c3afd066180d3e7ae742142e2291d7d66b481be6a78ddb899378f2584 yes 100

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