What is the current probability for "Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 49¢ (49% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 28, 2026. 67 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 570.4% and 526.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing June 28, 2026.

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49¢

Bid/Ask 1/96¢·Spread 95¢·Vol $0·OI $3.123·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining

0xc121c55325f37df2b2a1bf37ed41494a14d865be20d12590a680c8d890cc08cc

7-day price381 snapshots · 5 regime

90¢86¢ current

Apr 845¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 570.4%

IY (No) 526.6%

Adj IY 570%

CRI 1

RV 11589%

VR 60.67

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	570.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	526.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	570%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	11589%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	60.67	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	6.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

95¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 9:48:12 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xc121c55325f37df2b2a1bf37ed41494a14d865be20d12590a680c8d890cc08cc yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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