Will Vancouver Surge finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will Vancouver Surge finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing June 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $7.52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 47¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest spread.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 0/21¢·Spread 21¢·Vol $0·OI $52.328·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining
0xcba22c3de41fe129d4f5035fd95a47ab5b91c489b091740a9c3d6c51431520e5
7-day price2000 snapshots · 2 regime
48¢9¢ current
Apr 137¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $7.52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 47¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest spread. The 1128% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of thin markets with minimal trading activity rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity. With 72 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 4307%, price discovery remains poor, and traders should be cautious of wide slippage if attempting to enter or exit positions.

Resolution rules

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7281.4%
IY (No) 41.3%
Adj IY 7281%
CRI 13
RV 9079%
VR 19.89
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)7281.4%
IY (No)41.3%
Adj IY7281%
CRI13
RV9079%
VR19.89
IAR8.1/h
Overround2.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
21¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:48:55 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xcba22c3de41fe129d4f5035fd95a47ab5b91c489b091740a9c3d6c51431520e5 yes 100

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