Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-04-24?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $203.8k open interest and a massive 62¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 41¢ price may not reflect true probability. The astronomical implied yields (9,400% for Yes, 4,539% for No) and 927% realized volatility indicate severe mispricing or technical issues rather than genuine market sentiment about a match six days away. With only 1.7 information arrivals per hour and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this appears to be a stale or abandoned market where the quoted price should be treated with significant skepticism.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If Club Independiente Petrolero wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade