Cuban regime falls in 2026?
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$227K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x65623566…d7df
Market snapshot
Cuban regime falls in 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Cuban regime falls in 2026?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Cuban regime falls in 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
18¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: 0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df. Family volume: $227K.
Price history
18¢ current
−11¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba. This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC. A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba. Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice. Partial loss of territory, civil unrest, or challenges by rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the PCC no longer administers the majority of the Cuban population within Cuba. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x65623566…d7df
Event family
Cuban regime falls in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$227K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Cuban regime falls in 2026 18¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Cuba Regime 2026: Post-Castro Era Prediction Markets and the Risk of Sudden Change
In-depth guide to Cuba regime 2026 post-Castro era prediction markets. Analyze Cuba’s economic crisis, Diaz-Canel’s stability, U.S.–Cuba policy, migration surge, and support from Venezuela, Russia, and China to find mispriced regime risks through 2026.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maduro, Venezuela 2026: Regime Stability, Prediction Markets, and the Political Crisis
A deep‑dive outline on Maduro, Venezuela’s 2026 regime stability, and the political crisis—linking prediction market odds, military loyalty, opposition strength, economic collapse, and international pressure to scenario‑based analysis through 2026.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 18% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.