Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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18¢
Bid/Ask 17/18¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $7.64·OI $15,817.232·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x4cba9bf990370fac4f6ec2b3513d7dbbc5c569a88d01180ccda081cccc57eed7
7-day price236 snapshots · 23 regime
48¢18¢ current
Apr 813¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 678.8%
IY (No) 32.7%
Adj IY 339%
CRI 5
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)678.8%
IY (No)32.7%
Adj IY339%
CRI5

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/30/2026, 1:23:11 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 1:08:54 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x4cba9bf990370fac4f6ec2b3513d7dbbc5c569a88d01180ccda081cccc57eed7 yes 100

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