What is the current probability for "Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 81¢ (81% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2028. 619 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 16.6% and 209.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 81% probability that Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 81¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2028.

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81¢

Bid/Ask 76/85¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $118·OI $6,104.42·Closes Jan 1, 2028·619d remaining

0xa4198708a01581d5464fdb58c63d90d35c9212580b0b4503b89a14385aab81af

7-day price686 snapshots · 2 regime

85¢81¢ current

Apr 876¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 16.6%

IY (No) 209.2%

Adj IY 105%

CRI 4

Overround 1.7%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	16.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	209.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	105%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 8:34:30 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xa4198708a01581d5464fdb58c63d90d35c9212580b0b4503b89a14385aab81af yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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