What is the current probability for "Dyson Daniels: 8+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 37¢ (37% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Dyson Daniels: 8+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4322.5% and 1253.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Dyson Daniels: 8+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Dyson Daniels: 8+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Dyson Daniels: 8+ rebounds. This contract trades at 37¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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37¢mid

Bid/Ask 35/38¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-ATLDDANIELS5-8

7-day price56 snapshots · 2 regime

36¢35¢ current

Apr 211¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Dyson Daniels records 8+ Rebounds in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4322.5%

IY (No) 1253.3%

Adj IY 4323%

CRI 2

RV 82796%

VR 5.32

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4322.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1253.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4323%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	82796%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.32	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:44:41 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-ATLDDANIELS5-8 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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