SimpleFunctions

Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2028.

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9¢
Bid/Ask 3/15¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $3,451.236·Closes Jan 1, 2028·609d remaining
0xdb949c29645f4964b6ff22c0f37a6e3c400bb7ec1124bb44b3be8f28d25608d8
7-day price541 snapshots · 4 regime
50¢8¢ current
Apr 91¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 795.7%
IY (No) 4.5%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 13
RV 5198%
VR 16.99
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)795.7%
IY (No)4.5%
Adj IY0%
CRI13
RV5198%
VR16.99
IAR3.9/h
Overround1.4%
LAS1.71

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:52:51 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 1:38:57 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdb949c29645f4964b6ff22c0f37a6e3c400bb7ec1124bb44b3be8f28d25608d8 yes 100

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