Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 at least 7.0%
7.0%+ is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026.
Price history
3¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Outcome
7.0%+
Rank
#7 of 9
Leader
1.0-2.0% 70¢
Range
3¢-70¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
0xb82431ca...045c
May 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#7 of 9
9 outcomes · Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Identifier
0xb82431ca…045c
Event family
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
1.0-2.0% 70¢
Current share
13%
1.0-2.0%
polymarket · 0xccdda72e8306018ecca67bb9e051c79183fb5a9d5bd323bf3dacb0c1839ed9c1
6.0-7.0%
polymarket · 0xe531b038463306e142ec396b4249022f5eb8c082733d4f76662332e4f0fa8c27
0-1.0%
polymarket · 0x4c1c0c7b91dc4662de79d04b100754cb714d698b389bf1a9c21116b052041733
<0%
polymarket · 0x426e80109336e68bf5f9a4b6edadc6831639d104e5892750fdf626f8dfbfdbcd
3.0-4.0%
polymarket · 0xca2d841f2670dffe5191054f83e405e4f1182846594fd46ae06abdb2aae27083
2.0-3.0%
polymarket · 0xbf36de5d2974e0df0519363ef69ba3d3f6df3bfac851619cb1162b2361590355
4.0-5.0%
polymarket · 0x03b6de28d45d1468575f5fe5c327959250c4f6c9f8bb62b1a14c48587f7b9cb2
7.0%+
polymarket · 0xb82431caa69a1e0178cdf61d3ee9b55473a69ea36aa34197db0a88634ce7045c
5.0-6.0%
polymarket · 0xfbaacf639ab426359caeac3968d1214c0b1cfd33d184dfc652e483e8b1a86343
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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