What is the current probability for "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 84¢ (84% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 475.5% and 11334.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that Evan Mobley: 6+ rebounds. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

██████████████████████████████████░░░░░░

84¢

Bid/Ask 83/84¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $2.11·OI $2.11·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23CLETOR-CLEEMOBLEY4-6

7-day price94 snapshots · 3 regime

85¢83¢ current

Apr 2167¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Evan Mobley records 6+ Rebounds in the Cleveland at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 475.5%

IY (No) 11334.1%

Adj IY 11198%

CRI 5

RV 1213%

VR 4.66

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	475.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11334.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11198%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1213%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	4.66	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	15.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:48:08 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23CLETOR-CLEEMOBLEY4-6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions