SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 4, 20260 days left

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 38¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$0 volume
$5K liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$383

Best sibling

Viborg FF (-2.5) 3¢

Ticker

0x04350206…f522

Price history

40¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

38 / 42¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
38¢389
37¢817
36¢3.0K
33¢78
26¢81
25¢44
20¢205
19¢128
AskSize
42¢51
43¢482
44¢1.0K
45¢1.4K
46¢500
53¢19
54¢26
55¢24

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between FC Midtjylland and Viborg FF, scheduled for May 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Midtjylland and Viborg FF combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on superligaen.dk. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

0x04350206…f522

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
Overround
2.3%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

The Overround Illusion: Why EE > 0 Isn't Free Money

Event Overround at +0.06 looks like a 6% guaranteed return. After fees and slippage, the trade is usually negative. The interesting use of EE is changes over time, not the raw level.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index