Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 11¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$54K
Best sibling
Belgium 70¢
Ticker
0x5bf2c54f…a290
Price history
8¢ current
+5¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 14¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
0x5bf2c54f…a290
Event family
FIFA World Cup Group G Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$54K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Belgium 70¢
Current share
44%
Iran
polymarket · 0x5bf2c54fb4ca9d63427816cd88ab8f7b5ede5b2b9166c366a940f1a0d6d0a290
Belgium
polymarket · 0x1e285f49c483634426c54834f840f6bfe780e0039eb0ad31357b936600b7c2d2
New Zealand
polymarket · 0x6d4e4bf288d8caa229a72a48b985722df1b803e11a9d0d7e9a3fa8275ecccb34
Egypt
polymarket · 0xd5f291e4d2dfc44a42ee0eb1d83f2e42a90ce943a71f643cadf4e98c5a6ec3eb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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