Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This contract is priced at 71¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$126K
Best sibling
Iraq 1¢
Ticker
0x4ae4a0ae…fd05
Price history
71¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
70 / 71¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
0x4ae4a0ae…fd05
Event family
FIFA World Cup Group I Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$126K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
France 71¢
Current share
43%
France
polymarket · 0x4ae4a0aecfc6479374c5a9a355f0f0cba2c0680dff010b48a2c8b380423efd05
Iraq
polymarket · 0x95631f2ff3207bc553eae1632c54eccdecdc38554e0b3f6894e73b7f22f83028
Senegal
polymarket · 0x0174a32ce50b11c793acc6a643e1d583c99fa52016a319eab4052f9a59f4eb18
Norway
polymarket · 0x9da323e862ca9e583ae67a5130c8c79960cf173e7d76165cefd4ecd7f9333b90
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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