Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.
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78¢Bid/Ask 77/78¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $187.63·OI $15,903.486·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0x3319143adbbf4fc8349fa7fdc362dcd35f48800cc3dd231266f5c2e6023d6000
7-day price58 snapshots · 3 regime
81¢78¢ current
Apr 875¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 77¢(Δ +1¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:51:20 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM
Trade
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sf trade 0x3319143adbbf4fc8349fa7fdc362dcd35f48800cc3dd231266f5c2e6023d6000 yes 100