Game 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Game 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City Winner?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity with only $9 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating an extremely wide 25¢ spread and an implausibly high implied yield of 13,457.6% on the Yes side—a red flag suggesting the pricing is unreliable rather than a genuine opportunity.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe illiquidity with only $9 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating an extremely wide 25¢ spread and an implausibly high implied yield of 13,457.6% on the Yes side—a red flag suggesting the pricing is unreliable rather than a genuine opportunity. The market has drifted downward from 14¢ to 13¢ over seven days and carries a concerning Cliff Risk Index of 7, indicating potential resolution complications, possibly because the original April 22, 2026 game date may have already passed or been rescheduled. With only 18 days to expiration and minimal trading activity, this appears to be a stale or orphaned market with insufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully.
Resolution rules
If Phoenix wins the Game 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAGAME-26APR22PHXOKC-PHX yes 100