Game 3: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Game 3: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?. This contract trades at 39¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market exhibits extreme distress signals with Colorado priced at just 33¢ despite the game being scheduled for April 23, 2026—nearly two weeks before the May 8 close date, suggesting the contract may already be resolved or the underlying event has passed.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme distress signals with Colorado priced at just 33¢ despite the game being scheduled for April 23, 2026—nearly two weeks before the May 8 close date, suggesting the contract may already be resolved or the underlying event has passed. The astronomical implied yield of 4030% on the Yes side combined with minimal liquidity ($262 open interest, $11.41 daily volume) and a 3¢ spread indicates this is likely a stale or post-event market where normal pricing mechanics have broken down. The 230% seven-day rally from 10¢ to 33¢ paired with 2357% realized volatility suggests either late information arrival or a technical anomaly rather than genuine market discovery.
Resolution rules
If LA Kings wins the Game 3: Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR23COLLA-LA yes 100