Game 4: Carolina at Ottawa Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Game 4: Carolina at Ottawa Winner?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $37 open interest and $73 in 24-hour volume, creating unreliable pricing despite the tight 1¢ spread.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $37 open interest and $73 in 24-hour volume, creating unreliable pricing despite the tight 1¢ spread. The astronomical implied yields (1874% for Yes, 1730% for No) are artifacts of the low open interest rather than genuine opportunity, and the 35¢ to 49¢ price movement over seven days suggests volatile positioning in a thin market. With 20 days to expiry and a scheduled resolution date of April 25, 2026, this contract is approaching maturity, but the Cliff Risk Index of 1 and realized volatility of 1821% indicate significant uncertainty that may not resolve until very close to the event.
Resolution rules
If OTT Senators wins the Game 4: Carolina at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR25CAROTT-OTT yes 100