Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. The Los Angeles team is priced as a heavy 77% favorite with an extraordinarily high implied yield of 1106% for Yes positions, suggesting severe mispricing or extreme confidence in their victory.
Analysis
The Los Angeles team is priced as a heavy 77% favorite with an extraordinarily high implied yield of 1106% for Yes positions, suggesting severe mispricing or extreme confidence in their victory. The No side offers an even more dramatic 2705% implied yield, indicating the market is pricing in a dramatic upset with minimal probability, though the 6¢ spread and thin $1,053 open interest suggest low liquidity could amplify these yield calculations. With 21 days to expiry and realized volatility at 5278%, this market exhibits classic characteristics of low-volume sports betting contracts where small position sizes can create outsized percentage returns.
Resolution rules
If COL Avalanche wins the Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR26COLLA-COL yes 100