Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Hamburg at Frankfurt: Totals"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 19 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Hamburg at Frankfurt: Totals"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.1% and 7062.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Hamburg at Frankfurt: Totals"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7062.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3174%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.10	Liquidity Availability Score

Hamburg at Frankfurt: Totals

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts