Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026
>100k is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?.
Price history
4¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
>100k
Rank
#4 of 8
Leader
1-100 67¢
Range
2¢-67¢
Family volume
$231K
Identifier
0xa32587f6...f974
Jun 4, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$23K
Family rank
#4 of 8
8 outcomes · How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$231K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xa32587f6…f974
Event family
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$231K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
1-100 67¢
Current share
10%
1-100
polymarket · 0x326df6a10a6cdd74bdc1ef77906037e90b1f1d6dd1fdcbf6580aea62de094a96
101-1k
polymarket · 0x960324c7d2db73740836bbd97eec770fcb9b5372e5b46d98b2999fdbbd017f7a
2.5k-5k
polymarket · 0xfff9fd2422f8e3b878a2701c4eb1e9e182a35d9a71ec2d4233ccd2cac834f887
10k-25k
polymarket · 0xb51d73fb402680d320b8ae1a1450c17c90eb5c5061d7d406c1f86465276adb60
>100k
polymarket · 0xa32587f6a3b3fa89d71c5648c526fe69791ef6593159e682f1ca5d4dc364f974
5k-10k
polymarket · 0xcfaa155abdb4c4447285c3fb08ce11273ad7b648cbc29b26bbc99a5d50a57688
1k-2.5k
polymarket · 0xab77a311c7c175ff91707a06dcd358db7a7d7f4258fb7756b05b4f44d175914f
25k-100k
polymarket · 0xaca5aedf274be4876eed3441d1cd4c9f5f3908ee2d5dff4c838ba89cd69365d8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.